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Tables of Contents for Systems Analysis and Modeling
Chapter/Section Title
Page #
Page Count
Preface
ix
I Introduction to Analysis and Modeling
1
100
Systems Analysis and Model Synthesis
3
32
Introduction
3
2
Threefold Nature of the Universe
5
5
Entropy: Agent of Change
10
3
Hierarchical Analysis
13
4
Macro-to-Micro Analysis
17
2
Analytical Approaches
19
9
Comparison of Analytical Approaches
28
7
Exercises
32
3
Systems Modeling Principles
35
40
Knowledge-Based Modeling
35
1
Circumscription Principle
36
2
Conservation Principle
38
1
Correspondence Principle
39
1
Classification of Model Variables
39
3
Linear Relationships
42
3
Time Series
45
1
Calibration Principles
46
3
Building-Block Principle
49
2
Exogenous Dynamic Forms
51
1
Endogenous Dynamic Forms
52
14
Information Feedback
66
1
Distortion Reduction
66
9
Exercises
69
6
Population Model: Calibration and Validation
75
26
Introduction
75
1
Population Knowledge Base
76
2
Calibration of Population Model
78
3
Validation
81
3
Validation of Population Model
84
4
Error Control
88
13
Exercises
90
4
Appendix A
94
7
II Deterministic Models
101
108
Modeling with Dynamic Forms
103
26
Harmonic Oscillation Model
103
10
Polynomial Models
113
16
Exercises
125
2
Appendix B
127
2
Small Arms Exterior Ballistics Model
129
20
Projectile Knowledge Base
130
4
Calibration of Ballistics Model
134
5
Verification and Validation of Model
139
4
Conclusion and Discussion
143
6
Exercises
145
2
Appendix C
147
2
Inventory Systems Models: Shaping Dynamic Response
149
36
Inventory Accumulation Model
149
3
Inventory Reduction Model
152
2
Model of an Ideal Inventory System
154
5
Order Delay Model
159
3
Random Demand Model
162
6
Order Policy Model
168
3
Three-Policy Model
171
14
Exercises
175
4
Appendix D
179
6
Modeling Corporate Assets
185
24
Introduction
185
1
Asset Growth Model
186
6
Corporate Assets Planning Model
192
17
Exercises
204
2
Appendix E
206
3
III Stochastic Models
209
138
Stochastic Analysis
211
18
Introduction
211
1
Stochastic Representation
212
3
Modeling Stochastic Processes
215
4
Trend Analysis
219
3
Knowledge Acquisition via Inference Matrix
222
2
Regression Analysis
224
5
Exercises
225
4
Work Physiology Model
229
26
Introduction
229
2
Systems Analysis
231
1
Knowledge Base
231
2
Generic Model
233
2
Calibration and Validation
235
10
Conclusions and Comments
245
10
Exercises
246
2
Appendix F
248
7
Macro Model of Blue Glacier
255
14
Introduction
255
1
Systems Analysis of Blue Glacier
256
1
Knowledge Base
256
2
Calibration
258
2
Model Validation
260
2
Static Relationships
262
3
Further Modeling
265
4
Exercises
265
2
Appendix G
267
2
State Water Planning Model
269
32
Introduction
269
3
Systems Analysis of Yellowstone River Basin
272
1
Knowledge Base
273
4
Calibration
277
6
Model Validation
283
18
Exercises
290
2
Appendix H
292
9
Prototyping A Forest Systems Model
301
24
Introduction
301
2
Knowledge Base
303
5
Calibration
308
5
Model Validation
313
7
Concluding Remarks
320
5
Exercises
321
2
Appendix I
323
2
Applications Unlimited
325
22
Introduction
325
1
Virtual Manufacturing
325
6
Time Series Synthesis
331
7
Optimization
338
2
Large-Scale Systems
340
7
Exercises
342
2
Appendix J
344
3
References
347
4
Glossary
351
10
Index
361